I hope things are going well. I was in Toronto last week attending seminars and information sessions from the major insurance and fund companies. Topics included economic forecasts, understanding millennials, future trends predicted by a think tank, tax changes and tax strategies, social media and entrepreneurship.
There was a talk by the chief economist for IA Clarington. What sets Clement Gignac apart from other chief economists, is that he runs 6 billion of funds directly, and therefore has accountability for the calls and decisions he makes. I took notes which include –
- India is about to outpace China for GDP growth. They had 12% of GDP in 2016, the USA had 16%, and 35% for China. The measurements from China have to be viewed with caution as there is little third party verification of their numbers
- For the developed countries there is lower productivity growth, lower population growth, lower potential GDP growth and low interest rates for longer.
- Currently more than 1/3 of sovereign bonds have negative interest rates and 75% of these bonds are less than 1%.